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Supreme Court Decision to Reverse Roe v. Wade to Galvanize Democrat Base Ahead of Midterms - Experts_我的网站

一 | Last week, the predominantly conservative US Supreme Court overruled the precedent established by the Roe v. Wade and decided that states may regulate the practice of abortion. The Roe v. Wade decision upheld pregnant women’s right to seek an abortion without government restrictions. A decision in the 1992 case of Planned Parenthood v. Casey largely upheld the Roe ruling.,Effect on Midterms,In November, US citizens will go to the polls in what will be the first midterm election of the Joe Biden administration as well as a referendum of sorts on the current US president's performance. The Republicans have been projected to win back the House of Representatives and the Senate as well, as the public has been increasingly frustrated by the issues such as inflation, crime, education and jobs. The recent ruling, however, could potentially give the democrats a shot in the arm by generating excitement among their voters.,"It will certainly galvanize the Democrats' base, for sure, it will help them to raise campaign funds and it may - perhaps - make some races more difficult for Republicans, especially in the suburbs among women voters," Robert Singh, a professor of politics at Birkbeck, University of London, said, adding that most voters will still be focused on other issues and he still expects the Republicans to win both houses of the Congress.,This sentiment was echoed by Ziad Munson, a sociology professor and the chair of the department of sociology and anthropology at Lehigh University in Pennsylvania, who also warned that the effect of the decision can be overstated.,"A consistent finding in political science over the last several decades is that the abortion issue, while a potent ideological symbol, seldom is a key policy issue for voters when they cast their votes," Munson explained.,Andrew Wroe, a senior lecturer in American politics at the University of Kent, agreed as well that the issue should help the Democrats, citing the effectiveness of the Republican use of cultural issues for rallying their base.,"The Democratic Party has been less successful in prosecuting the Culture Wars, but this is its great opportunity. Whether it will use it well is a different question, however," Wroe suggested.,At the same time, Christopher Kaczor, the chair of the philosophy department at Loyola Marymount University, is doubtful about the abortion issue having an impact on the US political landscape and helping Democrats to excite their voters.,"I expect that the very small minority of people for whom abortion is the key issue, on both sides, will be energized by this decision, but for most people other political and economic issues will remain more important," Kaczor stated.,New Wave of Protests?,The Supreme Court's decision has triggered a strong reaction on both sides of the issue in the United States, with hundreds of protesters, pro-life and pro-choice, gathering outside the Supreme Court last week following the decision. After the ruling, protests broke out in various US cities, showing a possibility of a nationwide backlash.,"People are angry, distraught, and ready to mobilise. It is difficult to say precisely how long the protests will persist, but it is likely to be some considerable time, given the magnitude of the policy change and the direct and indirect effects it will have on millions of people's lives," Wroe said.,Meanwhile, other experts expressed skepticism regarding the possibility of nationwide protests, including Munson, who drew attention to the fact that "the conservative majority tested for this possibility when they agreed not to stay the implementation of the Texas S.B. 8 law [also known as the Texas Heartbeat Act that bans abortion after detection of an unborn child's heartbeat] earlier this year.","Allowing that law to go into effect was the Court's political trial balloon, and it showed that widespread outrage quickly quieted down after just a few days. The outrage following the formal overturning of Roe v. Wade will last longer, but it is not likely to lead to large-scale consequential protest activity," the sociologist said.,Man Charged With Attempted Murder of LAPD Officers Amid Roe v Wade Protests26 June, 14:51 GMT,Who Judges the Justices?,Over the years, the role of courts in the US social and political life has greatly increased, with the Supreme Court becoming the final arbiter on many hot-button issues, such as same-sex marriage, gun control and abortion. This has been a prominent talking point among conservatives, who have been claiming that this practice undermines the country's constitutional principles, while liberals have been appealing to the notion of the courts standing up for human rights as well as drawing attention to the conservative movement's efforts to train and promote judges who share its principles.,"Both liberals and conservatives have always been supportive of judicial activism, they just want the judiciary to be activist in promoting the issues or outcomes that their side prefers. This despite the fact that conservatives have used 'judicial activism' as a talking point for some time," Munson pointed out.,Kaczor, for his part, drew a distinction between the original Roe decision and the Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization, insisting that the latter actually corrects a case of judicial activism.,"The Dobbs decision is not accurately portrayed as a case of judicial activism, but rather as the reversal of judicial activism. It was Roe that established a constitutional right for abortion that had no basis in the text, history, or structure of the constitution. The decision of Dobbs undoes this judicial activism," he stated.,Nevertheless, the ruling by the current Supreme Court, which has three justices picked up by former President Donald Trump from a list compiled by the conservative legal organization Federalist Society, is likely to have the Democrats sour on the Supreme Court.,"Democrats are increasingly likely to start talking about illegitimate policy making by the Supreme Court. They will start to complain about judicial activism. But, as noted above, they can use these arguments to mobilize their base and to argue for urgency of electing more Democrats to the Senate, which of course must ratify presidential appointments to the Court," Wroe said, adding that the Democrats can also "begin to legitimately argue that the Senate has an in-built Republican advantage that needs to be addressed via constitutional change.",According to Singh, any Democratic nominee for the 2024 presidential race will face the pressure to commit to enlarging and reforming the Supreme Court.,"Whether that happens, though, is another matter. I doubt the Democrats will have sufficient seats in the Senate to overcome a GOP filibuster of court reform proposals. But the fact that the conservatives number six now on the Court sets up an on-going problem for Democrats, and more conflict to come," Singh concluded.。

二 |
内华达州运输管理局(Nevada Transportation Authority)于当地时间周四批准了特斯拉的完整“自动驾驶汽车网络公司”运营许可证,为该公司未来 12 个月内在克拉克县部署最多 5000 辆无人驾驶汽车扫清了监管障碍。这一决定是在一场长达 4 小时的例行会议上作出的。

三 | 特斯拉投资者 Sawyer Merritt 全程观看了会议直播,并在 X 平台上报道了这一消息。他指出,这次批准取代了此前的临时许可。根据临时许可,特斯拉只能在拉斯维加斯大道的一小段区域内运营最多 10 辆 Robotaxi。此前的限制比特斯拉目前在得州奥斯汀开展的 Robotaxi 服务更加严格。除了车辆数量被限制在 10 辆之外,运营车辆的最高速度不得超过 45 英里(IT之家注:约 72.4 公里) / 小时,也不能在机场接送乘客,运营范围还被严格限制在拉斯维加斯大道走廊区域。

四 | 而根据最新批准,特斯拉的运营范围将扩大至整个克拉克县,并且未来还可以申请进一步扩大地理围栏范围,甚至覆盖内华达州更广泛的地区。特斯拉代表在会议上表示,公司目前并没有立即将 5000 辆无人驾驶汽车全部投入道路运营的计划。预计商业化载客服务将在未来 30 天内启动,但仍需完成车辆检查、保险备案以及票价审批等程序,这些也是内华达州所有 Robotaxi 运营商必须完成的标准流程。这一时间点也与特斯拉本月整体推进 Robotaxi 业务的计划相吻合。该公司正准备最快于本月在奥斯汀向公众开放 Cybercab 试乘服务,并推出了一项抽奖活动,让参与者有机会赢得出席发布活动并抢先体验的资格。事实上,特斯拉早在今年 6 月就提交了申请,希望获准在内华达州部署一支规模最多达 5000 辆的无人驾驶车队。不过,监管机构在 7 月发放临时许可时,将这一数量大幅限制为仅 10 辆。此次周四的投票,则基本上批准了特斯拉最初申请的车辆规模。作为对比,亚马逊旗下的 Robotaxi 公司 Zoox 自 2025 年起就在内华达州开展运营,在此次批准之前,其获准运营的车辆数量上限为 100 辆。从纸面上的获批规模来看,特斯拉如今的 5000 辆上限远远超过了 Zoox。不过,特斯拉最终实际部署多少辆 Robotaxi,仍将取决于 FSD v15 的推进速度。特斯拉高管此前曾表示,这一软件更新将成为公司在全美范围内大规模推广完全无人监督 Robotaxi 服务的关键。
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